Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Hitchens Is My Hero...

...for today at least.


Hat tip: Mark Steyn at NRO

Clintons To Make Ball Drop

Usually the sight or sound of the Clintons is enough to make mine ascend into my stomach cavity.

But seriously, Mayor Michael Bloomberg has announced that Bill and Hillary Clinton will push the ceremonial button signaling the Times Square Ball to descend at 11:59pm on New Year's Eve.

Insert your own Clinton jokes here.

Blago Ups The Ante

The circus extended its stay in Chicago yesterday as embattled Gov. Rod Blagojevich defiantly snubbed his own Democrat party and named former Illinois Attorney General Roland Burris to the vacated Senate seat of President-elect Barack Obama.

Through his appointment, Blagojevich appears to be daring US Senate Democrats to make good on their pledge not to seat any candidate the governor named. And with the appointment of an African American, Blagojevich all but ensured the efforts to remove Burris or prevent him from serving would be tinged along racial lines. Check and mate.

Blagojevich's moves also signal that he does not intend to go down without a fight, much to the chagrin of Barack Obama I'm sure. And despite President-elect Obama's attempts to widen the distance between them, the fact remains that the president-elect and Blagojevich are close; Obama even active in Blagojevich’s campaign bid for Governor. This is another in a line of examples of Obama’s penchant for forging relationships of convenience rather than character.

Why do I get the feeling that Obama has more of these types of skeletons waiting in the closet?

Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Worst. Video. Ever.

Please indulge me on this. I'm still learning the ropes of this blogging technology, and am trying to learn how to imbed a video instead of posting a link. Anyway, while driving in my car this afternoon, I turned my radio dial to one of those stations that play a little bit of everything (Ben FM or whatever) and "Love is a Battlefield" by Pat Benatar was playing. I recalled the truly atrocious video that accompanied this song with guilty pleasure, and submit it now for your viewing pleasure:




It doesn't really get going until 3:22 into the song, and the line dance finale is a riot. I couldn't make up my mind which video was worse - this or Billy Squier's "Rock Me Tonight". I'll let you make that call.

I promise from here on out to only use my video imbedding powers for good.

UPDATE: Yay! It worked!

Will I Still Get July 4th Off?

I have always thought it would be fun to write a novel about a modern-day US civil war. Instead of a North/South split over the issue of slavery (or states rights, or whatever you believe to be the defining issue of that war), my novel would focus on a Red State/Blue State split along another polarizing moral issue…something like abortion for example. Adding to the intrigue of the story would be the main protagonist’s effort to wrestle control of the nuclear arsenal from renegade military commanders as the clock ticked toward the Red/Blue showdown. Yes, I know, lots of details to iron out, which explains why it remains unwritten (or at least I think it does).

A Russian professor envisions something fairly similar, but his work is entirely non-fiction. Professor Igor (or is it I-gor?) Panarin predicts the US will fall apart by the end of 2010. Panarin has maintained for several years now that economic and moral collapse will trigger civil unrest that will culminate in the breakup of the United States into six geographic regions – several western states headed by California will fall under Chinese influence; the states of the Texas Republic will be under Mexican control (naturally); the mid-Atlantic states will join the European Union; Canada will gobble up Northern border states; Hawaii will become a Japanese protectorate and Alaska will be dominated by the Russians.

While a fascinating theory, I’m not converting my dollars into euros just yet (I happen to live smack dab in the middle of Atlantic America). But I’m sure some Hollywood hack is busy at this very moment putting Panarin’s ideas to script for a Summer 2010 release starring Will Smith.

Monday, December 29, 2008

Because She’s, Um, You Know, A Kennedy…

Demonstrating her genetic predisposition toward politics, Senate hopeful Caroline Kennedy-Schlossberg brilliantly affected the colloquialisms of her intended constituents in order to prove to reporters that she’s “a lot like us.” In a recent media sit-down, Kennedy-Schlossberg explained that she wouldn’t be beholden to anyone (excluding, I assume, the State of New York) should she be chosen Most Popular by Gov. Paterson.

“I'm really coming into this as somebody who isn't, you know (emphasis mine), part of the system, who obviously, you know, stands for the values of, you know, the Democratic Party," Kennedy-Schlossberg told reporters. "I know how important it is to, you know, to be my own person. And, you know, and that would be obviously true with my relationship with the mayor.”

This is the product of years of private tutelage and finishing schools? And people criticize Bush for his grammar mangling despite an Ivy League pedigree. Perhaps I’m being too hard on Mrs. Kennedy-Schlossberg. After all, the left was entirely accommodating of Sarah Palin’s Wasilla-by-way-of-Fargo accent and limited national exposure. And I would hope that the press will hold Mrs. Kennedy-Schlossberg to the same standard as Palin when they invade every facet of her private life and voting record (or lack thereof).

I didn’t wholeheartedly support Palin in the general election, but I’d choose that soccer mom over the Kennedy-Schlossberg model anytime.

Sunday, December 28, 2008

The Press Hearts Obama: Exhibit #1,642

I believe the MSM was more than partly responsible for the election of Barack Obama, to the extent they acted more like fawning film students than objective journalists. And if you don't believe me, ask Hillary Clinton.

For this, I am often accused by my liberal friends as being a sore loser. Perhaps. But after seeing dripping love notes like this in the Philadelphia Inquirer this morning, I'm beginning to reconsider. Stories like this seem to be all too commonplace in major newspapers lately, and belong more on the pages of Tiger Beat than the Inquirer.

It should be quite a show when the relationship turns acrimonious.

And it will.

WaMess

The New York Times this morning profiles the shaky lending practices of Washington Mutual (WaMu) that would eventually lead to the downfall of the lending giant and several others in the financial industry. WaMu patterned its business model after those of retailer franchisers Starbucks and Home Depot. Speaking in 2003, WaMu CEO Kerry Killinger said this of his company’s aggressive strategy:

“We hope to do to this industry what Wal-Mart did to theirs, Starbucks did to theirs, Costco did to theirs and Lowe’s-Home Depot did to their industry. And I think if we’ve done our job, five years from now you’re not going to call us a bank.”

They’re not calling WaMu much of anything, anymore Mr. Killinger. Apparently, WaMu had a problem with saying “No” to prospective loan applicants. In one case profiled by the Times, the applicant claimed a six-figure salary for a profession not used to such extravagant wages: a mariachi singer. The loan officer could not verify the applicant’s salary, but did manage to take a picture of the singer dressed in his mariachi outfit in front of his home. Approved.

But we wouldn’t be in this mess now if WaMu was the lone example. In his book, Behind the Housing Crash, author Aaron Clarey details an industry where loan practices like the one described above were the norm. Clarey should know – he was an analyst for several banks in the Minneapolis/St. Paul area from 1998-2007. Alarmed at the growing number of defaults and lax lending standards, Clarey sought to warn his employers of an impending crisis. His efforts were ignored, and he left the industry altogether in protest before the bubble burst.

Although I’m only a third of the way through it, Behind the Housing Crash is an interesting, albeit depressing read from a person who experienced the downfall of an industry from the inside.

Harry In The Crosshairs

Republicans appear to be setting their sights on Sen. Harry Reid’s Senate seat in 2010. Reid will be up for re-election in the 2010 mid-term vote, and some political analysts point to his low approval and high disapproval ratings among likely voters as a sign of Reid’s vulnerability.

While I dislike Reid and would welcome the news of his unemployment, I just don’t see it happening. For one, Obama carried the state rather handily in November, despite Nevada going Bush in 2000 and 2004. For another, the economy should start to show signs of life by November 2010 no thanks to Harry, but a situation for which he and his campaign will undoubtedly take credit.

However, should the economy not start to pick up by then, then Harry and several other of his Democrat colleagues will have a lot of splainin’ to do.

Bonita And Clyde

Maybe it's me, but I find the story of disgraced Mexican beauty queen Laura Zuniga kind of.....you know.....hot. Zuniga, pictured below, lost her title as Queen of Hispanic America after she was picked up along with her boyfriend and his heavily armed cartel on drug and weapons charges.
She's a baaaaaaad girl.

Saturday, December 27, 2008

The Winds Of War

The South Asian Katzenjammer kids appear to be moving a step closer to all-out war one month after the deadly terrorist attacks in Mumbai, as intelligence reports indicate Pakistan is redeploying forces from the Northwest portion of the country to the eastern border with India.

Pakistan has signaled to India that it does not want war, but will defend itself if attacked. This statement comes in response to increased pressure from India and the United States for Pakistan to hand over members of the Lashkar-e-Taiba terrorist cell suspected in organizing the bloody three day siege in Mumbai last November.

Meanwhile, over in the Middle East, Israeli war planes and attack helicopters raided Hamas strongholds in Gaza, killing or wounding at least 150 people. The Israeli strike comes after Palestinian rocket attacks over the past few weeks have strained a shaky truce in the region. Arab reaction was not surprising - Egypt condemned the attacks and held Israel responsible for the killed and wounded, and called on Israel to restore the truce with Hamas. Strangely enough, the Egyptians did not call on Hamas to make similar gestures after a rocket fired by Palestinian militants in Gaza prior to the Israeli attack apparently misfired and struck a house in the strip, killing two Palestinian girls aged five and 13.

Happy New Year.

Krauthammer’s Zero Sum Game

Over at the Weekly Standard, Charles Krauthammer is proposing a federal gas tax – yes, you read it correctly, a conservative is advocating the imposition of a tax – as a means of reducing US gasoline consumption, thereby reducing global oil prices.

Why propose such a politically unpopular move at a time when the consumer is getting pummeled, and current lower gas prices are actually acting as an artificial tax cut? Krauthammer argues that, while never a perfect time to impose such a tax, doing so now at a time of precipitously falling oil prices would further encourage Americans to consume less gas, keeping global prices low.

To offset the adverse impact on consumers, Krauthammer suggests a net-zero gas tax. Theoretically, he argues, this could be achieved through a swap that couples the federal gas tax with an equal payroll tax deduction. This would satisfy the objective of lowering consumption without burdening the consumer.

The wild card in all of this is the effect of such a manipulation of an already shifting demand curve on global markets. Currently, government expenditures from Gulf Cooperation Countries (GCC) are higher than the price of a barrel of oil without the gas tax ($38 per barrel compared to $50 per barrel in government spending). Let’s also add the Russians to the mix, as that country just recently devalued the ruble for the third time in a week last week as declining petrol revenues drag that country deeper into economic recession.

His idea has some merit, but its ultimate success is predicated on other factors, and should be viewed within the context that such a policy move would have on global markets. Nevertheless, it is an interesting proposition and one that is worth a read.

Friday, December 26, 2008

Raising Kane

While exchanging holiday pleasantries with a friend of mine on Christmas Eve, he informed me that he recently had his beloved Weimaraner put down after twelve years of faithful companionship.

To know my friend is to know that conveying this news did not come easily to him. He and I have been friends since high school, and I have always known him to keep his emotions close to his vest. He’s part Vulcan I think. We were roommates during my single years – my Felix Unger to his Oscar Madison. And when I met Mrs. Goldwater, he decided to move on to a new phase of his bachelorhood by moving into the Big City with a new wing man – a Weimaraner puppy named Kane.

Hearing my friend relay the final days of his dog’s life, and the agonizing decision on his part to end his friend’s suffering was to see him in an entirely new light. The solitary, skirt chasing cad I knew in my twenties was replaced by an older, wiser man coming to terms with the loss of a friend – but nevertheless looking ahead to the future in the joy and promise that relationships can bring. It’s funny how a dog (or pets in general) can often help to bring out the best in who we are.

Why do we keep doing it – putting ourselves out there like that on the likelihood that heartbreak and sadness may be the ultimate outcome? I guess it’s like what Woody Allen’s character says at the end of Annie Hall – because we need the eggs.

Here’s to Kane – thank you for watching over my friend all of these years. I wish you an eternity of arthritic squirrels, fragrant butts and stationary legs.

Sleep well.

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Yes, Virginia, There Is A Santa Claus

I think Francis Church’s response to eight year-old Virginia O’Hanlon is one of the more moving, poetic examples of American letters (eclipsed only by this perhaps). Unfortunately, most people don’t write like this anymore. Because it’s Christmas, and we certainly need a little of it now, I reprint Church's letter in its entirety. Enjoy.

DEAR EDITOR: I am 8 years old. Some of my little friends say there is no Santa Claus. Papa says, 'If you see it in THE SUN it's so.' Please tell me the truth; is there a Santa Claus?

VIRGINIA O'HANLON. 115 WEST NINETY-FIFTH STREET.

VIRGINIA, your little friends are wrong. They have been affected by the skepticism of a skeptical age. They do not believe except [what] they see. They think that nothing can be which is not comprehensible by their little minds. All minds, Virginia, whether they be men's or children's, are little. In this great universe of ours man is a mere insect, an ant, in his intellect, as compared with the boundless world about him, as measured by the intelligence capable of grasping the whole of truth and knowledge.

Yes, VIRGINIA, there is a Santa Claus. He exists as certainly as love and generosity and devotion exist, and you know that they abound and give to your life its highest beauty and joy. Alas! how dreary would be the world if there were no Santa Claus. It would be as dreary as if there were no VIRGINIAS. There would be no childlike faith then, no poetry, no romance to make tolerable this existence. We should have no enjoyment, except in sense and sight. The eternal light with which childhood fills the world would be extinguished.

Not believe in Santa Claus! You might as well not believe in fairies! You might get your papa to hire men to watch in all the chimneys on Christmas Eve to catch Santa Claus, but even if they did not see Santa Claus coming down, what would that prove? Nobody sees Santa Claus, but that is no sign that there is no Santa Claus. The most real things in the world are those that neither children nor men can see. Did you ever see fairies dancing on the lawn? Of course not, but that's no proof that they are not there. Nobody can conceive or imagine all the wonders there are unseen and unseeable in the world.

You may tear apart the baby's rattle and see what makes the noise inside, but there is a veil covering the unseen world which not the strongest man, nor even the united strength of all the strongest men that ever lived, could tear apart. Only faith, fancy, poetry, love, romance, can push aside that curtain and view and picture the supernal beauty and glory beyond. Is it all real? Ah, VIRGINIA, in all this world there is nothing else real and abiding.

No Santa Claus! Thank God! he lives, and he lives forever. A thousand years from now, Virginia, nay, ten times ten thousand years from now, he will continue to make glad the heart of childhood.

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

My Christmas Wish List

As I tend to last-minute Christmas gift buying for those on my list, I thought I’d jot down some gift ideas for those hard-to-shop-for folks who may be on yours:

President Bush – A fair legacy. If last Sunday’s attack piece in the New York Times is any indication, the MSM and academia will not be kind to the soon-to-be former president. George W. Bush entered his presidency amid controversy and derision, and finds himself leaving office under this same cloud. But nestled between these bookends is a record of remarkable achievements in both domestic and foreign policy when viewed under the circumstances. Granted, he has made several missteps over the years, and decisions which I could simply not buy into, but these should be judged as part of his entire presidency. Bush will not go down in history as the greatest president, but he certainly won’t be the worst either.

President-elect Obama – Humility. I truly admire and respect what Barack Obama has managed to accomplish at this stage of his life, considering the challenges and setbacks he faced during his formative years. He has also managed to ignite a flicker of hope within the hearts of many Americans who have become weary of seven years of war on two fronts and a sputtering economy at home. But let’s make no mistake – Barack Obama is no idealist; he is an opportunist in the classic mold of the worst of Chicago-style politics. He has also come to believe in the deified image created for him by his handlers and lapped up by an electorate starving for a savior. A mighty load of expectations has been placed upon his shoulders, much of it brought on by his own doing. I hope he possesses the humility of his predecessor in his approach to governance, and awe for the office with which the people have entrusted him. Unfortunately here, he has no discernible record upon which to judge. I’m pulling for him to succeed, because if he does, we all do.

Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi – A lump of coal. They deserve coal not only because they are the worst congressional leaders since the Reconstruction, but also as a symbol that America’s energy independence will be gained only through a pragmatic policy of exploration and utilization of all of our country’s natural resources including coal; solar power; natural gas; oil and nuclear energy.

Christopher Dodd and Barney Frank – An unemployment check. These two clowns fiddled while Fannie and Freddie burned, and then promptly held everyone but themselves accountable for the mess. They deserve to find themselves on the same unemployment lines they indirectly helped to create for many others.

The Republican Party – A set of Blago-sized cojones. Yes, they got creamed in the elections, but that doesn’t mean they have to like it. It should be a mother lode of source material for the Republicans over the next two years, between the Democrat brain trust listed above and their kid-in-a-candy-store mentality on spending. The Republicans need to get out ahead on the ideological battle on common-ground issues such as spending, defense, and energy and health care policy. Reflexive criticizing will only deepen the chasm with the electorate – they need to put practical and bold ideas before an American public who will be considerably lighter in their wallets in 2010 after two years of Obamanomics. If the Republicans can’t get their act together by then, they’re toast (as are we).

The American People – A healthy dose of context. Yes, here comes my “we live in the greatest country in the world” finish. Because we do. And because we do, we tend to overlook our shortcomings or pay too much heed to those countries which overlook theirs when criticizing ours. We have problems to be sure, but none insurmountable. The reports of the death of the American Experience have been greatly exaggerated. We’ll come out of this, and it is my hope that we’ll all be a little wiser about the things that truly matter when we do. So cheer up, it could be worse…you could be living in the Sudan. Or North Korea. Or Iran. Or even Canada.

Merry Christmas.

Monday, December 22, 2008

Obama More Popular Than Jesus (And Better Looking, Too)

OK, I realize that Obama's rocket to superstardom may have given him an inflated sense of himself, but this is getting just a little toooo ridiculous.

The Politico is reporting that President-elect Obama's aides are planning to release a report this week absolving Rahm Emanuel of any wrongdoing in the recent imBlaglio (I've copyrighted that) involving Obama's vacant Senate seat. The article also says that Obama held off on releasing the report at the request of federal prosecutors. Nothing like waiting until all of the facts are in and indictments are dry before absolving anyone of sins, is there?

Obama's aides are also reporting that Obama is planning on making the blind see and the lame walk on his way up the inaugural parade route on January 20th as a sign of his compassionate mercy.

Pride comes before the fall...

2009 Prognostications

Dear Postcardigans,

As we head into the final days of the Holiday Season, I wanted to take a moment to wish you all a Merry Christmas, and give you a heads up that posting may be a bit sporadic over the next few days as the Goldwaters await the arrival of St. Nick.

I also want to let you know how much fun I’ve had over the last month in writing Postcards, and hope you’ve enjoyed visiting from time to time. Please continue to stop by and keep me honest.

Now with all that out of the way, what would a blog worth its salt be without 2009 predictions? So, I’ve listed out a few of mine, and hope that you will contribute yours as well. And now, without further ado, here are my prognostications for the New Year – these are for entertainment purposes only, so please no wagering:

- There will be an international crisis involving North and South Korea, perhaps with even limited military exchange (NK will conduct small armed incursions into the South), with China playing a major conflict resolution role;

- Joe Biden will say something so incredibly stupid that it will require a public rebuke by President Obama;

- At least one Supreme Court Justice will retire – Obama’s first choice will not pass Senate muster, requiring a hastily chosen, and more moderate replacement;

- Governor Paterson will not appoint Caroline Kennedy to Hillary Clinton’s vacant Senate seat; however, a Kennedy will be appointed to fill the seat of the departing Edward Kennedy (I realize the latter is a bit ghoulish, but hey, let’s be real);

- The economy will continue to languish, although not at the harrowing pace hoped for by the MSM – growth will not be detectable, which is to say that growth will be an “L” rather than a “V” curve into 2010;

- The New York Giants will repeat as Super Bowl champions;

- Hollywood will be the next industry to come to Congress hat-in-hand for a bailout as box office receipts continue to plummet;

- An oil deposit larger than the best expectations for ANWR will be discovered off of the US coast in the Atlantic, touching off a furor between the “Drill Here, Drill Now” crowd and environmentalists; and,

- I will turn 41.

Hopefully (or not), at least one of these will come to pass.

Sunday, December 21, 2008

The Oil Dividend, Part II

I find this piece of news to be a little disconcerting. While auto sales are off over 30% in the last three months, the share of pickup and SUV sales in the US market has actually increased.

When you think about it, it makes sense. The price of gasoline has decreased dramatically from summer highs. The average price for unleaded gasoline in my area (Southeastern Delaware County, PA) is under $1.90/gal.; off from highs of $4.00+ in July. Additionally, car dealerships are practically giving SUVs and pickups away to deplete inventory and prepare production (well, for Ford at least) for more fuel efficient vehicles. This ramp up in production of fuel efficient cars was a response to consumer demand for compact vehicles in the wake of - you guessed it - higher gasoline prices.

While lower gas prices are a welcome respite to a seeming endless stream of bad economic news, they are surely temporary - a benefit of a decreasing demand. The question remains where the Obama Administration will come down on the position of increasing supply through offshore drilling and ANWR exploration once this demand curve recovers.

When High Karate Won't Do It...

Fellas, use sparingly. The Burger King Corporation has introduced Flame to the growing roster of pheromone stimulation aids. The pitch: "The Whopper is America's favorite burger. Flame by BK captures the essence of that love and gives it you. Behold the scent of seduction, with a hint of flame broiled meat." Does it come with and without onions?

When they introduce a scent that makes a middle-aged married man smell like he just took out the garbage, cleaned the dishes and put the seat up without being told, then we're on to something.

Awwwww yeeeeahhhh......

Thanks For Setting Me Straight, NYT

I can’t quite put my finger on what about this story particularly vexes me, because overall I agree with its basic tenets. I think the Bush Administration bears a large portion of blame for the mortgage meltdown and ensuing credit crisis. As I’ve written here and elsewhere, homeownership – however noble the notion – is not an entitlement, it is the benefit of hard work, sacrifice and one's ability to pay.

Perhaps my objections have more to do with the story’s overall tone, and how the authors seek to lay the blame for our country’s current economic woes solely at the feet of Bush. A sampling of their objective pursuit of this truth:

“Bush did foresee the danger posed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored mortgage finance giants. The president spent years pushing a recalcitrant Congress to toughen regulation of the companies, but was unwilling to compromise when his former Treasury secretary wanted to cut a deal. And the regulator Bush chose to oversee them – an old prep school buddy (emphasis mine) – pronounced the companies sound even as they headed toward insolvency.”

Our economic blood loss is due to the cuts of several knives – the Bush Administration, Congress, the financial sector, Wall Street regulators and last but certainly not least the short-sightedness of an over-extended and overly consumptive American public. You can play with the comparative negligence percentages all you want, but the cold truth is that everyone is to blame here. And, when this turbulence subsides and we resume growth (and we will), none of the usual suspects listed here can rightly take sole credit.

But mostly, I just reject the Times' reflex to kick a guy when he’s down.

Saturday, December 20, 2008

On Congressional Pay Raises

Look, I want to say at the onset that under normal cirumstances I wouldn't begrudge Congress receiving a pay raise. But what I find unsettling is the mechanism by which they receive this bump; even if the economy is in the crapper, they still receive the increase. That’s quite a union they've got there in Washington.

I hate to come off sounding like a populist demagogue, but the hypocrisy demonstrated here is classic – these condescending clowns tut-tutted the Detroit CEOs for using corporate jets to fly to congressional hearings, but think nothing of receiving a 2.8% automatic pay raise on an average salary of $169,300 a year while the economy is tanking. Yes, I realize it’s a cost of living adjustment – but it’s the symbolism in a town built on symbols.

Hey Joe, where’s the “shared sacrifice” you preached to Americans during the campaign? Why not lead by example and freeze or decline congressional pay raises until the economic crisis has subsided? Sarah Palin did.

And they wonder why the American public loathes them.

Friday, December 19, 2008

But Really, She Wanted A Crock Pot!

Guys, we've all been here....

It Could Be Worse…It Could Have Been Rev. Sharpton

President-elect Obama ignited a firestorm of criticism this week from gay and lesbian advocacy groups on his decision to invite Pastor Rick Warren to deliver the invocation prayer at the Inauguration. Warren, bestselling author of The Purpose Driven Life and head of the Saddleback Church, one of the largest Christian evangelical churches in the nation, has supported ballot initiatives to define marriage, including the recent Proposition 8 initiative in California.

Obama defended his decision, but added that his views were “absolutely contrary” to Warren’s on gay rights and abortion, and described himself as a “fierce advocate for equality for gay and lesbian Americans.” Conveniently, Obama stops short on this position when it comes to how he actually defines marriage. On this, he is on record as stating that he personally believes that “marriage is between a man and a woman.”

But this is essentially the position Warren takes. Warren says that he has no problem with gays and lesbians seeking equal protection under the law; it is that he is against the government seeking to redefine a religious covenant that has existed between a man and a woman for thousands of years.

My point here is not to debate how marriage should be defined (that’s a post for another day), it is that Obama and Warren’s views are not “absolutely contrary” – they are in fact very similar.

And as to why gay advocacy groups have specifically targeted Warren, it is largely because he has come to symbolize everything the Left detests of the “Religious Right” – the same folks they feel sent Prop 8 down in flames. But if they really wanted to marshal dissent against the forces of the Prop 8 crowd, then why haven’t they picketed Baptist churches or the NAACP in California? For of the black voters in California who turned out in droves for Obama, over 70% voted for Proposition 8.

Thursday, December 18, 2008

Chet's Nuts Roasting On An Open Fire

News from the world of creepy...

A town in Western Sweden has decided to tackle that country’s problems of an aging population and the environment at the same time by connecting the local crematorium to its district heating system. Cemetery administrator Lennart Andersson explains that the idea came to the town fathers after an environmental review of the crematorium concluded new ovens would be required to conform to regulations. “After all this talk about the environment we realized we should take advantage of the heat created during cremation,” he said.

And there you have it.

Admittedly this item is not particularly newsworthy, but I couldn’t pass up the headline.

And The Winner Is...Russia

This may be as anti-climatic as the selection of the Messiah as Time’s “Person of the Year”, but it appears that Russia will be the likely winner of the Joe Biden “Gird Your Loins” Contest. Just prior to the election this past November, vice presidential candidate Joe Biden warned fellow Obama donors that some in the world will seek to test the new president very early in his new administration, pointing to detailed intelligence reports for the basis of his premonition. Speculation at the time centered on the usual suspects: Korea, Iran and Russia.

But Russia’s recent decision to “give” Lebanon 10 MiG-29 fighter jets, its Navy’s recent joint maneuvers with Venezuela and its invasion of Georgia last summer would seem to catapult the Kremlin to the head of the pack. These developments, combined with Russia’s dwindling petrol dollar wealth in the wake of plummeting oil prices, point to Putin playing the part of the mustachioed villain on the world stage.

Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Time Waits For No Man (But Obama)

As if there was any anticipation as to whom Time might name as its "Person of the Year", the wait has ended.

The "Person of the Year" is....wait for it...Barack Obama...cue The Imperial March.

And you thought it might be something abstract like Planet Earth or The Economy.

The Fed Throws A Hail Mary

The news yesterday of the Fed’s decision to cut the targeted fed fund rate from 0% to 0.25% sent the markets into a tizzy, with the Dow finishing up more than four percent, or 350 points.

This action alone wasn’t the cause of the market’s euphoria, as the Fed also came out with a more aggressive statement on its position to get directly involved in current market events through what it calls “quantitative easing”. Essentially, this means that the Fed will inject more money into the supply by buying up government bonds and other assets of banks – sort of what Paulson originally intended for TARP until that entity became Paulson & Co.’s personal funny money for Wall Street lap dances.

I applaud their effort even if I’m not fully convinced it will ultimately do much good. You can inject all the money in the world into the economy, but until investors and consumers are assured the worst has passed (and many aren’t) they will continue to sit on the sidelines. The Obama administration could go a long way to restoring economic confidence by injecting its proposed stimulus plan with real, impacting corporate and personal income tax reductions rather than largely symbolic public spending projects. Obama has surrounded himself with some very bright economic minds - I hope (there’s that word) they will advocate the same.

To say the Fed’s actions yesterday were gutsy would be an understatement. Paulson and Bernanke are like Butch and Sundance holed up in a one-room shack while the economy encircles them like the Bolivian army – they appear to be outgunned, and are quickly running out of ammunition.

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

JoePa To Stay On At PSU Through 2011

I'm not a huge college football fan, nor am I an alumnus of Penn State (although Mrs. Goldwater is a proud graduate). I just thought this was interesting - at the conclusion of next year's season, Joe Paterno will have been with the Penn State coaching staff (both as assistant and head coach) for 60 years.

No wonder he keeps signing contract extensions, they appear to be keeping him alive. Actually, I suspect he died in 1994, and they just carry out one of those cardboard cutouts onto the field every Saturday. They don't grow 'em too bright in Happy Valley.

I'm just kidding, Mrs. Goldwater.

Oh Thaaaaat Conversation...

Michael Sneed of the Chicago Sun-Times is reporting that the Feds have Rahm Emanuel on tape talking on the subject of Obama's now-famous vacant Senate seat - 21 separate times.

But don't worry, Obama's got it covered.

These aren't the droids you're looking for....you can go about your business...move along.

The New Normal

I've seen the Conservative Wahoo use this term to describe the eventual bottoming out of the markets. Jim Manzi over at The Corner, provides a pretty good description of what "the new normal" might look like for many Americans:

"We use the abstract expression “deleveraging” to describe what’s happening in the economy right now. That’s fine for a textbook or a newspaper article. But what’s really happening is that people are learning that the world is not as benign as many people in America talked themselves into believing it to be. Most middle class Americans are going to drive older cars, live in worse houses, and travel less than they thought they would even a couple of years ago. They will be less able to afford to move to the school district that they think will put their kids into the school that they think best for them. They are going to retire later, and have less money to spend when they do. This is painful and dispiriting. It is unequally shared suffering, and much of the distribution of relative pain is driven by luck, which makes it especially bitter to those who have been unlucky."

Read the rest here.

Monday, December 15, 2008

Um, Obama…Better Get To Work On That Lowering The Sea Level Thing

Seth Borenstein, climate alarmist extraordinaire for the AP, has written one of the most unintentionally hilarious pieces on global warming I’ve seen in a while. It starts out innocently enough…

“When Bill Clinton took office in 1993, global warming was a slow-moving environmental problem that was easy to ignore. Now it is a ticking time bomb that President-elect Barack Obama can't avoid.”

Ouch. But wait, it gets better. He writes of anxious scientists (nothing worse than those), worrying more and more about “tipping points.” Scientists fear (apparently fear is as good as the scientific method anymore) that the Arctic ice melt will be amplified, and they predict that the Arctic waters will be ice-free in a matter of summers, perhaps by 2013.

“We’re out of time”, says Stanford biologist Terry Root. “Things are going extinct.” Interestingly, I found this article on the heels of another article reporting the discovery of over 1,000 new species in the Greater Mekong. Apparently, no one bothered to tell the hot-pink spiny millipede that his time was up.

And what of the pesky detail that 2008 has been one of the coolest on record? While “skeptics” like myself might say that this might be pause for further examination, Borenstein says it actually illustrates how fast the world is warming – I kid you not.

Like the song says, "Facts all come with points of view. Facts don’t do what I want them to…"

Silver Lining In The Housing Market?

Calculated Risk, my favorite blog to visit when I need a stirring jolt of reality, reports some interesting statistics on housing starts vs. new home sales.

The graph below compares quarterly housing starts and new home sales (you can see a larger image on the CR blog). Through much of 2005 and 2006, new home starts were higher than sales and inventories rose sharply; then, the bottom fell out in 2007, and starts have been consistently below sales. As Calculated Risk notes, it appears to be a race to the bottom…

I see that as well, but I see a bit more. I also see inventories beginning to drop off slightly, which is a good thing. There are too many houses sitting in inventory at the moment, and it is imperative that we work this excess down in order to stabilize housing prices and induce demand for new homes. There has never been a better time to buy a home, provided you can qualify for the loan and manage to keep your job.

It will get better, it just won't happen overnight. But maybe that's just me – I’ve always been a glass half-full kind of guy…



Detroit, Save Thyself

I guess one of the few good things to come out of the Big 3 bailout fiasco is that perhaps this helps to put to rest the conspiracies of the tin foil hat wearing brigade who claim Detroit has been suppressing electric car technology and engines that run for several hundred miles on a cap full of cooking oil.

I mean, if you were sitting on that sort of technology, wouldn’t now be a good time to bring it to market?

Sunday, December 14, 2008

Psst, George...Don't Believe Maliki...It's Not An Iraqi Sign Of Affection

Sometimes it just doesn't pay to be the head of the free world. Best line of the day, "If you want the facts, it was a size 10 shoe that he threw."

I'm heartened to hear that some Iraqi journalists immediately stood up to apologize.

At this point, I think W's about as eager to wrap this thing up as the Lefties I've seen sporting the bumper stickers with the 1-20-09 date on them...


Oh, This Is Definitely Nobel Worthy

Researchers at the University of New South Wales found that patients under the age of 65 suffering from frontotemporal dementia (FTD), the second most common form of dementia, cannot detect when someone is being sarcastic.

A Shave And A Haircut...

Megan McArdle has a piece up over at TheAtlantic.com as a rejoinder to criticisms which have appeared with increased frequency in recent weeks on why some on the Right are calling for pay cuts for UAW workers, but are silent on the same haircut for executives at financial institutions.

Labor costs, McArdle argues, are not the issue at financial institutions – imbalanced balance sheets are. CEO and executive pay amounts to a smaller percentage of the banking and financial industry’s current woes than the auto industry, and reducing labor costs for automakers will bring them closer to parity with their foreign competitors.

Overall, her logic to a comparison that I believe is fundamentally flawed is fair, if a bit blunt. McArdle rightfully points out that many CEOs were forced to take a pay cut, and since their compensation is often tied to company performance many executives’ personal fortunes have already been severely impacted.

I say the comparison is fundamentally flawed for a number of reasons. For one, comparing line work to C-level management is the proverbial apples-to-oranges analogy – it makes for good class envy rhetoric but the relative value each brings to the company table isn’t comparable. CEO’s have invested a substantial amount of education, experience and human capital into their careers and the respective fortune of the company, and can take these resources and sell them on the open market (a finite market for CEOs I might add); the same doesn’t necessarily hold true for auto line workers. Additionally, there is also recourse for a company with unsound management – they can be fired, and many have.

But that is not to say that as a stockholder of a company like AIG, I wouldn’t be demanding the head of the CEO on a silver platter…

Saturday, December 13, 2008

Cutting The Ties Of Employer-Based Health Care

An interesting opinion piece posted earlier this week in the Wall Street Journal Online that you may have missed. The authors, Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel and US Senator Ron Wyden, argue that the current employer-based system of health care is inefficient and antiquated – a product of post World War II price and wage controls – and needs to be overhauled as part of any comprehensive effort to lower prices, raise quality and ensure US businesses remain competitive with their global counterparts.

I think their ideas make sense, and should be considered as part of or as an alternative to any health care reform package taken up by Congress this year – what do you think?

Obama Team Mum On Blagopalooza

Blago – I love that name. It sounds like a comic book villain, which aptly describes Gov. Blagojevich. Over at the Corner, Mark Krikorian is taking reader suggestions as to what to officially call this recent example of Chicago chicanery – Blago-Rahma, Blagola (like payola), Grand Theft Blago, Seatwater and my personal favorite: Blagopalooza.

The eye of this storm is now centered over Obama and the president-elect’s transition team. Questions of “what did he know, and when did he know it” are rightly being asked of Obama and his men (not by every member of the MSM, mind you). And as I said in a post earlier this week, I take Obama at his word when he maintains that he had no idea of what Blagojevich was scheming, but that doesn’t mean Obama didn’t talk to him about the seat, and at least provide the governor with a few thoughts for replacement. That’s politics – to the victor go the spoils.

So why then, the denials of even speaking with the governor? Why not stop this thing dead in its tracks and say, “yes, we spoke briefly about the vacancy and I provided Gov. Blagojevich with my thoughts on who a suitable replacement might be; but ultimately, we agreed that it was the governor’s call” and be done with it?

Because it’s not done – as we slowly pull the curtain back on the Obama experience, I think we'll see a trail of used up bodies strewn about the path to the White House. Obama’s ambitious and meteoric rise to fame has been built largely on relationships of convenience with people of questionable character. From Wright to Rezko, to Ayers to Daly, Obama has been using people and horse trading on relationships for years, each designed to catapult him to the next stage of his political career - a notion all-too-conveniently under reported by the MSM in its fawning coverage of candidate Obama. And now that he’s arrived, President-elect Obama is quickly looking to distance himself from his poorer relations. But unfortunately for him, when you win the lottery, family has a nasty habit of coming out of the woodwork.

McCain was right – character matters. And as the Messiah veneer inevitably fades, the folks who voted for Obama will see they elected a real character all right...

Friday, December 12, 2008

$50 Billion Ponzi Scheme

As if news of the collapsed auto bailout won't won't be bad enough on stocks today, news comes that former NASDAQ chief Bernard Madoff was arrested and charged with running a fraudulent investment scheme to the tune of $50 billion. $50 billion, that's almost $20 billion more than when Enron tanked in 2001.

Vermin like this guy make the case for a free market system that much tougher.

Happy Birthday Old Man!

Yes, this is a shameless attempt to elicit a comment from the three or four people who actually read this blog, but I wanted to take a moment to offer my best birthday wishes to my father, who turns a spry 77 today.

Dad - as a fan of the Supreme Court, you'll be happy to know that on this date back in 2000, the court rendered its decision in Bush v. Gore, effectively ensuring George W. Bush's first presidential victory. The vote was......you guessed it.....5-4!

Many happy returns to you!

Obama Offers Umbrella For Iranian Storm

In a seeming capitulation to the prospect of a nuclear Iran, Haaretz.com is reporting that the Obama Administration will offer an “umbrella” to Israel against an Iranian nuclear attack. The site quoted a source who said the US will declare an attack against Israel by Iran would result in a “devastating” nuclear response by the US.

During his campaign, Obama's position on Tehran was all over the place. In the early stages of the primaries, Obama famously stumbled through a response to a question concerning relations with rogue nations – saying said that he would meet with leaders without preconditions. The response elicited howls from his rivals, including one Joe Biden. However, as the season wore on and Obama’s chances of election seemed likely, he took on a more somber stance toward the Iranian regime.

Obama’s campaign website outlined this approach to Iranian diplomacy:

Present the Iranian regime with a clear choice. If Iran abandons its nuclear program and support for terrorism, they would offer incentives like membership in the World Trade Organization. If Iran continues its troubling behavior, Obama and Biden will step up our economic pressure and political isolation.

This approach is kind of like a mall security guard attempting to pursue a fleeing shoplifter - “Stop! Or I’ll yell stop again!”

I’m not sure what exactly this latest policy statement is meant to convey – beyond what’s already known and has been said – other than signal to Ahmadinejad that the US is busy on other matters, and he will be taken at his word that his country is only using its nuclear capacity for peaceful means.

Israel isn’t buying it, and neither am I.

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Separated At Birth? Part II...

Vaudeville comedian Fozzie Bear...


...and Vaudeville Governor Rod Blagojevich?

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

Capitol Hill Reaches Accord On Detroit Bailout

Lawmakers in Washington have reached an agreement with Detroit that will provide billions of dollars in loans to the struggling auto industry in return for a direct role in the industry’s restructuring. The loans would amount to about $15 billion, $10 billion short of the original amount requested by Detroit. I would expect the incremental $10 billion to be quietly reinstated in about eight weeks, once Washington realizes the extent of the mess.

Swell. Government further extends its reach into the market to help prop up an industry it in part helped to destroy through excessive regulation. Does this mean that auto workers now become de facto federal employees who could be terminated for work stoppages, similar to their air traffic counterparts in the early 1980’s?

Paglia On The Clintons And More...

Camille Paglia is one of my favorite writers. Cue the obligatory"although I don't always agree with her positions"... she is consistent, lucid and thoroughly entertaining. Her column today takes on the Clintons (a favorite subject), the anti-Palin media and academic elite. She also takes the MSM to task for their kid-glove treatment of the islamic terrorists in Mumbai. A great read...

Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Land Of Lincoln...and Daly, Obama, Rezko

Add a new name to the growing rogues gallery of modern Illinois state politics – Governor Rod Blagojevich.

Blagojevich and his chief of staff, John Harris, were arrested Tuesday morning at their respective homes, charged with conspiracy to commit mail and wire fraud and solicitation of bribery in attempting to sell Barack Obama's vacant Sentate seat. Wow - taken into custody at their homes, that's telling isn’t it? Usually, disgraced soon-to-be-indicted political figures are afforded the dignity of turning themselves in to authorities. I wonder what prompted the feds to take down Blagojevich at home.

For his part, Obama claims that he had not been in contact with the governor about his senate vacancy. However, ABC News is reporting that the president-elect’s senior advisor David Axelrod told a reporter in November that, “I know he’s talked to the governor and that there are a whole range of names many of which have surfaced and I think he has a fondness for a lot of them.” Axelrod is now backpedaling from this statement saying that he misspoke about the meeting. That’s some misstatement.

The president-elect further added that he had no idea of what was happening with Blagojevich. That’s funny, that’s exactly the same excuse he had for Bill Ayers…and Tony Rezko…and Jeremiah Wright. Notice a trend here? And speaking of Rezko, his name appears over 170 times in the complaint! With Rezko singing like a canary, there's no telling what we'll uncover as we go along.

Even if Obama’s ignorance of the Blagojevich affair is legit, and I believe that it is - beginning a new administration under a cloud like this is not a good start.

Aw Hell, Why Don’t The Feds Just Buy Everyone A Home?

Further evidence that suggestions of using the TARP funds to bail out homeowners is perhaps an unwise move; or, additional ammunition to support government intervention – take your pick. Recent bank data suggest that half of homeowners fell behind on mortgage payments even after their loans were restructured.

No Updates Tomorrow…

Sorry Backbenchers, but there will be no updates tomorrow; I’m calling in ‘Gay’

I'm reminded of the old Saturday Night Live sketch with Bill Murray chastising his son for his decision to stay home from school (for no particular reason other than he was bored), and pointing out the decision’s ultimate ramifications (industry shuts down, Russians at the door, total chaos, etc.).

Monday, December 8, 2008

The Accidental Terrorist

My brother sent me this link to a recent Mark Steyn article on the Mumbai massacre along with this note:

Great piece from National Review Online.

International journalists are unable to describe the Islamic attackers last month in Mumbai as "terrorists".

"Militants", "gunmen", and "practitioners" are the terms they use so not as to insult our Islamic friends.

What is also noted is how the official newsletter of the Democratic Party, The New York Times, wrote, "It is not known if the Jewish center was strategically chosen, or if it was an accidental (emphasis his) hostage scene."

How "lucky" could the terrorists have been? In a country of over 1.2 billion people, with a Jewish population between 5,000 and 10,000, they accidentally stumble upon the Chabad House; a non-descript building which served as the Jewish center of Mumbai.

Why is it again that we don't trust liberals with protecting us from terrorists?


Indeed.

Yep, It's Official: We're Screwed...

The Seventh Sign of the Apocalypse is upon us. George W. Bush and Barbra Streisand have kissed...


W is a class act...no doubt about it.

The Oil Dividend

One of the few welcoming declines in this economy is the continued downward spiral of the price of oil. Crude oil prices have plunged from their highs of $140 a barrel this past summer to $42.14 a barrel for January - prices last week alone fell more than 25%, the biggest one-week decline since the Persian Gulf War in 1991.

As the economic picture worsens, lower energy prices fueled by oil may be one of the factors that help to cushion the fall for many tax payers. Diminished demand has translated into lower prices at the gas pump, acting as a natural tax cut for many Americans. The timing for this couldn’t have been better - lower oil prices will also mean that more Americans will be able to heat their homes as we head into the winter months.

In response, OPEC has signaled that it would most likely cut production of oil to stave off declining prices. OPEC group president Chakib Khelil told reporters last week that a "severe" cut may be needed to halt declining prices.

But Calculated Risk doesn’t see it that way. The economics and forecasting blog notes that oil prices are below Gulf Cooperation Countries (GCC) expenditures ($40 per barrel compared to $50 per barrel in government spending), making a talk of production cuts just what it is – talk. As an aside – there is some great material on this site, but be forewarned: if you’re looking for a Kudlowesque view of the economy you’d better look elsewhere.

Another effect of declining oil prices - it appears to lessen the demand for electric cars.

Sunday, December 7, 2008

The Jindal Effect?

Louisiana voters have spoken, and they’ve sent two republicans to Congress: one will replace scandal-tainted democrat William Jefferson and the other will replace a retiring incumbent republican. Interestingly, Anh "Joseph" Cao, who beat Jefferson by three percentage points will become the first Vietnamese-American in Congress (nice to see this in the republican party).

In a year of devastating losses for republicans, these victories provide small consolation. But they may also be viewed as a positive sign for LA Governor Bobby Jindal, who may or may not be harboring national political aspirations in the near future.

Hey Zardari, Is Your Refrigerator Running?

Sorry to make light of a very tense situation, but this story made me chuckle. As a Howard Stern fan for many years, I envisioned the following phone conversation when I read the story:

Caller: Uh, yes…is Asif there? This is Pranab Mukherjee
Pakistan: Hold on, let me get him.
Caller: (giggle)..shh, shh, he’s coming to the phone!
Zardari: Hello?
Caller: Ah, yes, Asif, this is Pranab Makherjee, India’s Foreign Minister.
Zardari: Yes, yes, I know who you are, what do you want?
Caller: Well, we have captured another terrorist and he is saying that your office had direct participation in the Mumbai attacks!
Zardari: That’s impossible, what’s his name?
Caller: Bahb al Booie…
Zardari: Bahb al Booie? Bahb al Booie?
Caller: Yes, Bahb al Booie, and he was captured with Howard Stern’s Private Parts in his possession!
Zardari: @&*^$! (hangs up phone) Who the Hell is screening my calls?

Saturday, December 6, 2008

What A Tangled Web Charlie Weaves...

Now he’s getting downright blatant – federal records show that Rep. Charlie Rangel (D-NY) paid $57,500 from a campaign account to his son’s web design company for modifications to the representative’s internet page (addition of a Donate NOW radio button, no doubt) over a two year period – the highest amount of any other House member during the same period. And while using campaign funds to pay relatives technically isn’t illegal, it is indicative of why the American public hates Congress.

Rangel, Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, is already in hot water with the House Ethics Committee (har!) for possible tax improprieties, including charges that he improperly used a rent-subsidized New York apartment as his office; and that he failed to disclose rental income from a luxury villa in the Dominican Republic purchased in part with loans from a lobbyist. Rangel’s defense – he wasn’t aware of the implications of his activities, as his work on Ways and Means (you know, the body that writes the tax code) prevented him from understanding tax laws.

We have our own Untouchable here in Philly; and as is usually the case, karma will eventually catch up.

Stimulus Package Bleeding Green

This is what I was referring to last night amid my alcohol-infused rant - a major portion of the stimulus package under consideration – over a half trillion dollars over two years – is to be spent on tax rebate checks and a myriad of “green” projects ranging from home weatherization to renewable energy.

Look, I realize it’s politically expedient for Obama to appear to be championing the Middle Class in its hour of need, but stimulus checks are the economic equivalent of feeding a man a fish versus teaching him how. And I even concede that this particular downturn may a different animal than in past recessions, requiring the government to step in to minimize job loss through spending on infrastructure improvement projects. For one thing, they are sorely needed; for another, I feel it will help to stave off a larger more ominous downturn in commercial construction that is right around the corner.

But let’s stick to what we know – government can’t create wealth, it can only foster its creation and subsequently spend it. So let’s stimulate the economy through smart tax policy while addressing infrastructure improvements and energy independence through practical investment on bridges and highways, clean coal plants, nuclear energy, and additional petroleum refining capabilities.

Friday, December 5, 2008

Friday Night Ramblings...

It’s Friday, and I have my trusty red by my side. Tonight, it’s a 2006 Clos de los Siete, a fine inexpensive dandy from Argentina, and it’s going down very smoothly. Perhaps too smoothly. So if any of the following is incoherent or offensive (more so than my sober dispatches), I apologize in advance – I really do love you - it was the booze talking.

  • Well now, the Dow appears to have ended up sharply today. That’s it, the recession is over, there is nothing to see here…please return to your lives. Despite a US economy that shed over 533,000 jobs last month (the worst in 34 years) investors apparently had a lot to be happy about as the averages gained over 250 points…the upturn was fueled on speculation that the federal government had no choice but to pass a massive stimulus package…um, yeah...as to what that package might be is anyone’s guess…if Obama includes cuts on corporate and marginal tax rates designed to stimulate investment, then we’re on to something…if they amount to more government welfare, er, Middle-Class tax credits, then we’re in big trouble…strike that, bigger trouble
  • In a series of confusing motions, OJ Simpson was sentenced to up to 33 years in prison earlier this afternoon. Simpson’s years of dogged detective work in searching for his wife’s killer on Florida’s golf courses and night clubs have come to an end. Karma’s a bitch OJ. Speaking of Karma, our favorite Karma Chameleon, Boy George, has also been found guilty in a court of law, but for offenses wholly different from OJ’s – he’s been found guilty of kidnapping, and chaining his male escort to a bed. Oh, if only poetic justice could be a factor in sentencing…
  • Reports out of New York tonight that Caroline Kennedy has expressed interest in filling the senate seat of outgoing Senator Hillary Clinton, should Clinton be confirmed as Secretary of State. Kennedy’s previous political experience is that….wait for it…she’s a Kennedy, who also happened to back the right horse at the right time this past presidential season…
  • And while we're on horses, whatever happened to John Kerry? I mean seriously, the guy gives Obama his big break in 2004, allowing the-then state senator from Illinois the spotlight in an otherwise standard issue Democrat snoozefest, and then was one of Obama’s most enthusiastic, early supporters…word was that he was a shoo-in for State, and then…crickets…psst, John, did you tell them you served in Vietnam?

Thursday, December 4, 2008

Big Oil Has Nothing on Big Education

According to a new report by the National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education, college tuition and fees have increased 439 percent since 1982, almost three times higher than the increase in family incomes.

In1982, the average cost of tuition at a public four-year institution was about $800, while the average cost of tuition at a four-year private institution for the same year was $4,639.

To put things into perspective, the average price of a gallon of gasoline in 1982 was $1.20. In December 2008, the average price for a gallon of unleaded gasoline is $1.81, down from its July 2008 high of $4.05/gallon (when’s the last time college tuition actually decreased?).

Now guess who is frog-marched in front of Congress to answer “To the People” for their predatory pricing practices?

I’ll give you a hint – it’s not the president of Harvard.

Can He Still Get The Deposit Back?

As a public service announcement to any single Postcards readers contemplating proposing to their sweetie over the holidays, please note that inland-based sites like restaurants and parks work as effectively as beach proposals (and are less hazardous to your health).

You have been warned. That is all.

American Ingenuity On Display

You may have missed this little gem in NRO's The Corner the other day. A group of community activists (hey, know any of them?) has filed a federal civil rights complaint against two Wall Street ratings firms, Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings, charging that the firms essentially profited from the stupidity of low income mortgage holders.

OK, maybe that’s not what the complaint actually says…its more like the companies profited by assigning high ratings to bonds backed by mortgages “that were designed to fail” because of “unfair payment terms and insufficient borrower income levels.”

Further, the National Community Reinvestment Coalition (NCRC) charges that Moody’s and Fitch “knew or should have known” the subprime mortgages were being disproportionately marketed to minority consumers. A 2006 study is reported to have shown that an estimated 45% of mortgages extended to Latinos and 55% of African-Americans were subprime – a rate reportedly three to four times higher than non-Hispanic whites.

But isn’t that the point? Isn’t this whole “ownership society” notion that everyone is entitled to own a home, regardless of financial status, part of the equation that led to this current financial mess? Groups like the NCRC (and Obama) were most likely at the forefront of battles with major lending institutions during the 1990’s pressuring them to open the aperture of lending to minorities, knowing full well many if not most of these folks wouldn’t qualify for conventional mortgages. And guess what…they were right!

The story doesn’t directly say on whose behalf the NCRC has filed the complaint; yet I have a feeling it is not the holders of the junk bonds, but rather the constituents comprising the “community” of the NCRC.

I don’t absolve Wall Street of its sins any more than I do the stupidity and shortsightedness of the holders of these subprime mortgages. They have both made their respective bed, but neither party appears accountable enough to lie in it.

Wednesday, December 3, 2008

What A Drag It Is Getting Old...

An ominous sign from Conseco. The insurer has diverted a portion of its long term care policies to an independent trust - a prelude to what I suspect may be a divestiture from this offering altogether. Conseco may be the first domino to fall in a long line of insurers who see where the state of health care is headed and want no part of it.

While Washington falls all over itself doling out goodies in an effort to spend us out of short term financial meltdown, it appears to be paying scant attention to this 800 lb gorilla of the health care continuum waiting in the wings...

And you think you pay too much for health care now? You ain't seen nothin' yet...

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Er, About That "Team Of Rivals"...

Political hindsight apparently has astigmatism - just ask Vice President-elect Joe Biden. Speaking to reporters about his (then) rival and new boss, Barack Obama: "I think he can be ready but right now, I don’t believe he is. The presidency is not something that lends itself to on-the-job training."

And this foot-in-mouth disease does not appear to be contained to the lower echelons of the Executive Office. Commenting on then-candidate Hillary Clinton's foreign policy experience during last Spring's debate, candidate Obama remarked of his new Secretary of State, "What exactly is this foreign policy expertise? Was she negotiating treaties? Was she handling crises? The answer is no."

Adding to the lovefest, incoming Chief Counsel Greg Craig said this about Clinton last March: "There’s no evidence that she participated or asserted herself in any of the crises that took place during the eight years of the Clinton presidency. White House records show that she was consistently absent when critical decisions were being made and that her trips abroad were largely ceremonial."

And last, but certainly not least, Obama's choice for UN Ambassador Susan Rice weighs in on the new Secretary back during the primaries: "There is no crisis to be dealt with or managed when you are First Lady. You don't get that kind of experience by being married to a commander-in-chief.

That's quite a team Barack's assembled.

Remember kids, in Washington there is no "I" in "Team"- but there is "Eat Me".

Monday, December 1, 2008

Wheeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!!!

The Dow continued its rollercoaster ride in Economic Loony Land, closing down almost 680 points this afternoon. What served as the catalyst for the plunge? Those who follow such things point to the National Bureau of Economic Research’s contention that the US has been in recession since December 2007.

Congratulations, we’ve been living in the greatest depression since the Depression for almost a year now. I’m sorry, but I fail to see how the NBER’s conclusion somehow sent the markets into such a panic. US Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson also said today that he’s working to expand the availability of TARP funds for foreclosure relief. First, he uses the $700B to buy toxic assets, then he doesn’t – then, he uses $350B to inject capital into failing financial institutions, and then walks away. Now, he wants to use billions to help homeowners. See any correlation here?

I’m more inclined to side with those who see a connection between the politicization of the markets and its current manic-depressive volatility.

Change I Can Certainly Believe In...

Preliminary crowd estimates for Obama's January 20th inauguration are topping over one million people and counting. Add to that hotel space at overcapacity and you have a recipe for good old fashioned capitalism.

I know a certain blogger (rhymes with Conservative Yahoo) with a splash pad in the Crystal City area in a position to make quite a nice bit of cabbage...

On Coming Home...

Batman has the Batcave; Superman, his Fortress of Solitude. For me, I have found that the cure for my various stresses over the years to be an extended visit home. Of course, I get curious looks from some, who question the appeal of slogging down I-95 through holiday traffic to a place where the newest subdivision is named after a Prohibition-era moonshine runner. You see, my parents retired to rural North Carolina over ten years ago, so my family’s semi-annual pilgrimage is not to the place of my childhood. And life in Clayton, NC moves a tic slower than it does in Philadelphia, PA. Much slower.

But that’s the selling point for me. When I’m “home”, it’s as if time freezes, if just for a few days. Every beautiful processed food item I enjoyed as a child and currently verboten in the Goldwater household is on prominent display – the toughest decision I make during a typical day revolves around what I’ll have for breakfast – Cap’n Crunch, Cocoa Puffs or Apple Jacks. I don’t worry about deadlines, sales quotas or mortgages, they’ll still be there when I get back. And with me through all of this is Mrs. Goldwater, who indulges me on my little time travel adventures; who herself has managed to develop a good relationship with her in-laws, including my sister and sister-in-law, who live in the area as well.

Adding to the allure for me is the fact that my son and daughter are around the same ages as my sister’s two boys, and the four of them get along famously. It is a joy watching them develop a foundation upon which I hope will become a life-long friendship.

Yet visits these days are becoming all too bittersweet. With every trip, I see my parents age before my eyes. But although my mom and dad may have lost a step or two with time, their hospitality and generosity have never ebbed. Their pride in their children and love of their grandchildren provides them an almost boundless source of energy.

But it is through this lens that I also see they have more days behind them then ahead, forcing me to grudgingly acknowledge and accept my own aging (as if the gray hair at 20 wasn’t a giveaway), as well as that of my brothers and sister. My siblings and I are no longer children living under the same roof under the benevolent dictatorship of Mom and Dad - each of us has become a responsible adult, each with our own families, values, opinions and set of adult-like problems.

We arrived home last Saturday evening after spending eight hours in a minivan. No sooner was my eight year-old son in the front door did he burst into tears. This wasn’t the inconsolable outburst of an impudent child who didn’t get what he wanted, but rather the heartfelt sadness of a young man who is beginning to understand that life isn’t permanent, that nothing lasts forever and even life’s most mundane moments are ones to be savored.

I wish I could tell him it gets easier.

Saturday, November 29, 2008

A Bond For The Ages

A short movie review before embarking on our trip back North - Mrs. Goldwater and I took in the new James Bond movie, Quantum of Solace yesterday afternoon on our final day of our stay in North Carolina. I’m a passive fan of the James Bond series, but I have to say I found this newest incarnation one of the best (at least in my memory). Not much on plot (which works, actually), thin on gadgetry with some intense action scenes, Solace is raw Bond in an era of fractured international relations. Daniel Craig makes a great Bond – he wears pain well.

A few random notes:

  • Ford Motor Company products are prominently displayed throughout the movie, and I noticed some interesting looking car designs – why do we get stuck with the Taurus and Focus while Europe and South American markets gets the cooler looking models?
  • Without giving any of the plot away, listen for the girl-like screams of the Bond villain during the climatic hand-to-hand combat scene
  • As I mentioned, Craig is a great Bond – possibly the best. I love the fact that Bond kicks ass, but gets the crap kicked out of him as well. And where Roger Moore looked neat and pressed following a fight scene, Craig takes the blood and scars with him
  • Bond’s female accomplice (can’t call her love interest, really) is smoking. She looks like a young Catherine Zeta Jones

Friday, November 28, 2008

Don't Sublet Gitmo Just Yet...

The terrorist raids in Mumbai, India serve as a sobering reminder that there are still a lot of angry jihadists out there who aren’t necessarily beholden to any particular brand of Islamic lunacy. These attacks were well planned, coordinated and funded; they were also designed to inflict maximum psychological damage – I don’t think it’s any accident that the financial jewel of India was targeted during a time of global economic meltdown.

Not to be outdone, there are reliable intelligence reports that Al Qaeda is planning a massive subway attack in New York City sometime during the holiday season.

Islamic Whack-A-Mole never seems to end.

Barack Obama will have his work cut out for him. Combating terrorism won’t prove as easy as sending predator drones and special ops into the tribal areas of Pakistan. It will require using every resource available to the Chief Executive - the very same resources Obama savagely criticized his predecessor for employing over the past seven years.

Thursday, November 27, 2008

Thanksgiving Don’t Mean Squanto…

The Goldwater clan is spending the Thanksgiving holiday with my folks in bucolic Clayton, NC. The other evening, I was reading five year-old Princess Goldwater her usual allotment of bedtime stories, and came upon one of her books appropriately entitled, “The First Thanksgiving”. As I read through the book, I was struck by the tone of several of its passages, including these selected ditties:

“The Pawtuxets planted corn, beans, squash and pumpkins…every year they gave thanks to Mother Earth at the Green Corn Dance….In the early 1600’s, Englishmen visited their shores more and more frequently. These men sailed in ships with butterfly wings, killed with guns and kidnapped Wampanoag men for slaves. The Indians became deeply afraid of white men…”

“As Squanto jubilantly strode into his village in 1619, he suddenly slowed his stride…no children clambered over the big rock. No voices sounded. The homes they called wetus were skeletons. The cornfields had grown into weeds…all of his people were dead because of a European plague...”

“The Pilgrims decided to seek their fortune in the New World…they carried firearms and armor to protect themselves against the vicious animals and the people of the New World they called “savages”…”

“Although the military men and Miles Standish had been shot at by Indians on Cape Cod, the Pilgrims had yet to meet one “savage”…”


Wow, chew on that between your turkey and pumpkin pie today – white men suck. The book further goes to note that, if it wasn’t for the selfless heroics and agricultural know-how of the Native Americans, the first settlers were as good as goners.

And how did we repay them? We enslaved the healthy ones, and exterminated the weak and invalid by coughing on them.

Personally, I like this version of the first Thanksgiving better.

Separated At Birth?

An update to an earlier blog entry, "Obama's Kobayashi Maru". In post-editing, I was struck by the resemblance of Barack Obama to another, lesser-known but no less beloved Star Trek character, Tuvok.

Coincidence? I think not.





Obama Taps Volcker As Econ Advisor

News this morning that PE Obama has asked former Fed Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker to chair a special panel to advise him on economic matters.

Excellent, my plan is falling into place…soon his transformation to the Dark Side will be complete and the conserva..er, the Sith will once again rule the Galaxy!

Ok, maybe that’s going a bit overboard. But could these early gestures toward governance from the center be interpreted to mean that Obama has realized that the problems the US faces are much bigger than “Hope” and “Change” nonsense? If so, how do you think the Hard Left is likely to respond?

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Obama Pledges To Become Conservative

Yes I know, wishful thinking; but it certainly looks nice. Yesterday, Obama pledged that he and his economic team would pour over the federal budget looking for ways to trim unnecessary spending. And as in all of Obama’s public statements to date, we need to mind the fine print: unnecessary spending. Good luck with that one…

As I’ve said before, it is critical that the feds temper any increase in spending with offsetting cuts. They need to reassure financial markets both here and abroad that any surge in government spending to stimulate the economy is temporary, and fiscal responsibility will return once the crisis abates.

Yes, I don’t believe I wrote that last line either.

Only You Can Prevent Eco-Idiocy

My brother is planning for life in a post-Obamalyptic society. If the hordes of angry anarchists act anything like the attached group of Earth Firsters, he needn't worry.

This clip, if legit, could easily give the best of anything on Saturday Night Live a run for its money.

Pure comedic gold, baby.

Hat tip, Captain Capitalism

No Tchotchke Cabinet Should Be Without This...

My father is a difficult one to buy for at Christmas....until this year.

I love the goofy guy at his desk looking to his Obama plate for inspiration. Perhaps he's signing over the first of his wealth redistribution payments...

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Obama’s Kobayashi Maru

In the opening scene of Star Trek II: The Wrath of Khan (arguably the best of the series to date), Starfleet cadet Saavik, played by pre-Jenny Craig Kirstie Alley, is put through a "no-win" training simulation designed to test her character under extreme conditions. The Kobayashi Maru is a disabled Federation freighter located inside the Klingon Neutral Zone rapidly losing life support. The “captain” is faced with a difficult choice: enter the Neutral Zone and risk confrontation with the Klingons, or do nothing and allow the crew of the Kobayashi Maru to perish. (Note to Star Trek purists: this is my recollection from memory, and is not meant to represent canon in any way. All is well. Please step away from your computer, and proceed back down into your parent’s basement.)

Obama is faced with his own economic Kobayashi Maru – seek to stimulate the economy through government spending and public works programs that may have the opposite effect of their intended objective, or do nothing and let the market self correct but not before a period of profound pain and misery.

He’ll need to tread lightly here. This particular downturn in the economy is tricky, as the sector that has traditionally led us out of recession (construction) is one of the factors responsible for the economy’s collapse. In past recessions, the government used monetary policy to stimulate investment in new construction, leading to new job growth, leading to increased consumer spending thereby reinvigorating the Economic Circle of Life.

But interest rates are already at all-time lows. And as we’ve seen with the TARP program, the government can’t force banks to lend, either among themselves or to the public. Of greater concern is current inventory – how do you go about building new buildings and homes when there are already too many of them available on the market?

Overall, I’m encouraged with some early signals the Obama economic team has sounded. I don’t think they hold out any rosy scenarios for a quick turnaround – recovery will come, but it will be slow. I think the plan for investment in public infrastructure improvements – bridges, highways, etc – is a smart one. Not only because I think these improvements are desperately needed, but also because I think the Obama team is addressing a downturn in construction yet to come. Residential construction has already been felt and absorbed into the economy - it’s the downturn in commercial construction that has yet to be realized, and where Obama appears to be setting his sights.

I would prefer the feds look to raise funds to pay for this public investment through either spending cuts in current programs or reducing capital gains and other taxes on investment. We'll see. On taxation, Obama appears to be ratcheting down his campaign's class warfare rhetoric - this is good, but he can and should do more.

For our sake, let’s hope Obama turns out to be a fan of Captain Kirk.

Monday, November 24, 2008

The Impending Baby BOOM

A new post over at Captain Capitalism gave the ol’ cranial lightbulb (fluorescent, thank you) a sudden jolt – Europe and other western nations have a baby boom generation as well. And it would seem they will be as much a drag on current and future resources and GDP as their American cousins.

It’s not so much that I wasn’t aware that Europe’s demographic landscape was changing (for a thoroughly fascinating and depressing book on the subject, read Mark Steyn’s America Alone), it’s that the US need only to look across the Atlantic to see the long-term effects of increased government involvement in commerce and health care. Sure the Swedes are the model of cradle-to-grave social democracy, but what happens when the cogs of this engine inevitably break down with age, and there are no replacement parts available? This giant social Ponzi scheme only works if the incoming labor force is as large or larger than the force its replacing. No tax base, no goodies.

No problem, you say – the influx of immigrants will compensate for the shortfall. Perhaps, assuming these immigrants are college educated professionals, and they share the same social mores as their host country. What if these immigrants saw homosexuality and sexual promiscuity as sins against Allah or whomever (or whatever) deity they worship? This is the stewing cauldron that now awaits our Western friends, and will for leaders here as well in a decade or so.

And speaking of lightbulbs, have any of you ever had one of those new “green” bulbs break on you? Have you read the precautionary notes and directions for disposal? I wasn’t aware that hazmat suits are now a necessity…

Sarah Palin And Turkeygate

I realize this is old news at this point, but I wanted to weigh in on the current Palin-Mediaflap-of-the-Week.

This clip of Sarah Palin answering interview questions at a turkey farm while a farmhand administers Last Rites to a few of the turkeys is pure comedic genius. It recalls the best scenes of the “Naked Gun” and “Airplane” movies, where the main character is engaged in the foreground while chaos ensues in the background.

Pure gold, baby.

That having been said, Palin’s handlers should have been fired on the spot. And those in the conservative media who are quick to dismiss or even celebrate this latest episode as a testament to Palin’s populist, folksy charm are missing the larger point – good politicians and good leaders make good choices – they don’t put themselves in these situations. And while the Right will attempt to rationalize her behavior, in the end she solidifies the backwoods rube image liberals created for her during the campaign with sound bites like this.

Republicans and conservatives alike were correct to call Obama’s judgment into question during the campaign – so why shouldn’t holding Palin to the same standard be any different?

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Supersize That Seat!

I can’t wait to read Mark Steyn’s take on this. The Canadian Supreme Court has declined to hear an appeal by Canadian Airlines that would have nullified a decision by the Canadian Transportation Agency that people who are “functionally disabled by obesity” deserve to have two seats for one fare.

How does the CTA define obese? Lord knows I’m getting a little doughy in the midsection, and would love the extra room.

I’m all for accommodation, but don’t tell me the obese are “entitled” or “deserving” of a two-for-one fare because they manage to consume three times their daily recommended caloric intake. Build a few rows of barcaloungers in the tail section (upon second thought, probably throughout the plane for proper weight distribution) and charge a premium for a “supersize” seat, but let’s not equate the result of poor lifestyle choices for a true physical handicap.

Do As I Say, Not As I Choose...

After what I would think to have been weeks of careful and emotionally painful deliberation, Barack and Michelle Obama have made the decision to send their two young daughters to Patterson Elementary School in Washington, DC.

Just kidding.

They’ve chosen Sidwell Friends, a pricey little Quaker Friends school for the Washington, DC power elite. Sasha and Malia will not follow in the footsteps of Amy Carter, but rather Chelsea Clinton.

Of course Washington DC public schools were always under consideration. Mrs. and Mrs. Obama continually espoused the virtues of a public school education on the campaign trail, pointing out that their own daughters are proud students of the Chicago Public…hey, wait a minute…never mind.

Obama A Realist On Foreign Policy?

Over at the Weekly Standard, Michael Goldfarb notes that Barack Obama’s selection of his foreign policy team, both known and rumored, may be signaling that the president-elect intends to shape foreign policy from a center/realist perspective.

The selection of Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State, Jim Jones (no, not that one) as National Security Advisor, Gates on Defense and continued counsel from Brent Scowcroft appears to have left progressives in the cold. What would be interesting to know is the extent of Biden’s influence in all of this.

I think progressives were initially excited with a few of Obama’s foreign policy stances (willingness to meet with despots without preconditions, unilateral withdrawal from Iraq, etc.). However, I’m not sure whether his positions on these issues were truly nuanced, or they were more a product of an inexperienced but ambitious politician playing to his base. As has been pointed out to me by others, Obama is an extraordinarily gifted politician – not that I’m insinuating that he’d say anything to get elected, but it is certainly a lot easier to “evolve” your position once you’re in office.

On the whole, I’m not totally disappointed with Obama’s choices to date – which is to say, it could be worse.

Friday, November 21, 2008

Americans Still Have A Big Heart

I love this story. Despite worsening economic conditions and the gloom and doom prophesy reported by the media, Americans still continue to give to charity. Not only does American generosity appear to be recession-proof, but also appears to increase during tough economic times. Consider this:

  • The American Red Cross, in the middle of a $100 million national fundraising campaign to make up for shortfalls, raised over $60 million in two months;
  • The American Heart Association reports that donations are up this year; and,
  • United Way of King County, WA expects to reach this year’s $110 million fundraising goal

What’s the lesson here? That America already practices what Obama sanctimoniously preached to us during the campaign about “being our brothers keeper" - and we certainly don’t need the federal government's help in forcing us to dig deeper.

Charity begins at home.

Playing Hooky

Yesterday, my boss, me and another colleague took the afternoon off and participated in a "team building" exercise - we went clay skeet shooting. And, despite the immense black, blue and red welt on my right bicep, I had a blast.

My boss is an avid outdoorsman, and will look for any excuse to go out and shoot; be it a bow, shotgun or pistol.

I, on the other hand....am....not. If you reread my first post, you'll know that I am a creature of climate control, exhibiting all of the physical characteristics of a Morlock. OK, perhaps that's a bit harsh, but you get the idea. It's not that I don't enjoy physical activity or that I haven't gotten my hands dirty over the years, but I am no Hemingway either (writing style and lifestyle notwithstanding).

In fact, when attempting to explain the proper technique for cradling and aiming my shotgun, my instructor Sam asked me if I had ever watched football to know how to make the "touchdown" sign - much to the unrestrained laughter of my colleagues.

But when the laughing stopped and the shooting began, I was all business. I discovered I'm actually a fairly decent shot. I also found out that I have a handicap - I shoot right-handed, but my left eye is the dominant one. This makes holding and aiming the shotgun a bit difficult. At least it was for me, hence the giant welt on my right arm.

All things considered, it was great fun and very exhilarating. I understand and appreciate a little more the allure of the outdoors and the desire of many to hunt and maintain firearms. I also got a glimpse of Pennsylvania outside of the liberal conclave of Philadelphia and its surrounding suburbs. I never once got the impression any of the residents of Coplay, PA were bitter, clinging to guns or religion - but I suspect they will if Obama ever tries to outlaw or curtail their firearm use (there was tons of NRA and anti-Obama paraphernalia in the gun club clubhouse).

Thursday, November 20, 2008

Will Credits Or Cuts Help The "Middle-Class"?

Newt Gingrich and Peter Ferrara have a good piece up over at the Wall Street Journal Online. Essentially, Gingrich and Ferrara argue that if the Obama Administration really wants to serve the middle class and stimulate the economy, then real tax cuts rather than credits are the way to go.

G&F also note that Obama’s plan of expanding upon current and creating new federal income tax credits used ostensibly to fund various social purposes won’t do anything to stimulate investment or job growth, but will cost the government an estimated $1.3 trillion in direct welfare payments to 40% of American taxpayers who don’t pay any income tax anyway.

Additionally, these cash payments are only an incentive up to the amount of the credit, but do nothing beyond the next dollar of income. As a “middle class” taxpayer under the Obama definition (at least I think I am at this writing), I would definitely rather opt for a lower marginal tax rate (from 25% to 15% under G&F) to allow me to control my own wealth rather than waiting for my gubbmint check.

It’s a sound argument. I would only go a step further and advocate budget reductions across the board. The US needs to signal to the financial markets and foreign investors that it is serious in reigning in spending.